Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.006973 0.007798 0.008698 0.009756 0.010968 0.012318 0.013941
2025-04-13 0.005505 0.006588 0.007868 0.009504 0.011556 0.014064 0.017394
2025-04-20 0.004771 0.005967 0.007459 0.009476 0.012166 0.015678 0.020692
2025-04-27 0.004381 0.005683 0.007378 0.009782 0.013163 0.017837 0.024949
2025-05-04 0.003969 0.005303 0.007103 0.009758 0.013662 0.019330 0.028448
2025-05-11 0.003665 0.005026 0.006923 0.009823 0.014261 0.021003 0.032429
2025-05-18 0.003363 0.004718 0.006658 0.009716 0.014568 0.022241 0.035874
2025-05-25 0.003165 0.004536 0.006552 0.009828 0.015209 0.024063 0.040562
2025-06-01 0.002947 0.004304 0.006346 0.009752 0.015526 0.025373 0.044534
2025-06-08 0.002696 0.004000 0.005999 0.009412 0.015350 0.025797 0.046906
2025-06-15 0.002552 0.003849 0.005880 0.009430 0.015789 0.027355 0.051719
2025-06-22 0.002492 0.003827 0.005963 0.009796 0.016879 0.030252 0.059757
2025-06-29 0.002297 0.003577 0.005663 0.009484 0.016723 0.030809 0.063097
2025-07-06 0.002129 0.003361 0.005404 0.009224 0.016647 0.031533 0.067005
2025-07-13 0.002017 0.003231 0.005281 0.009198 0.017015 0.033210 0.073468
2025-07-20 0.001967 0.003201 0.005328 0.009493 0.018060 0.036481 0.084563
2025-07-27 0.001873 0.003088 0.005217 0.009471 0.018443 0.038345 0.092491
2025-08-03 0.001798 0.003004 0.005152 0.009533 0.019010 0.040716 0.102369
2025-08-10 0.001708 0.002885 0.005013 0.009430 0.019201 0.042218 0.110154
2025-08-17 0.001651 0.002824 0.004979 0.009537 0.019877 0.045016 0.122522
2025-08-24 0.001576 0.002725 0.004864 0.009465 0.020127 0.046775 0.132156
2025-08-31 0.001477 0.002575 0.004638 0.009136 0.019732 0.046787 0.136127
2025-09-07 0.001425 0.002508 0.004575 0.009154 0.020180 0.049138 0.148693